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Stord vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stord
35%
Draws
37%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Stord have won more games recently than Varegg.
  • Win probability leans Varegg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stord have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Varegg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Varegg
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
5:2
May 16, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2
Sep 30, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
3:1
Jun 16, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 22 / 100
Varegg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Varegg let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stord stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Varegg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
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Varegg

(Away)
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
18 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 1
Varegg
15 Aug
Varegg
1 : 3
Askoy
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