Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stord vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Stord
22%
Draws
18%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Stord have won more games recently than Varegg.
  • Win probability leans Stord's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stord have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Stord Clean Sheet 11%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stord Varegg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Varegg
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
5:2
May 16, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2
Sep 30, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
3:1
Jun 16, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stord 56 / 100
Varegg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stord Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Varegg let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stord stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stord VS Varegg
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stord

(Home)
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
15 Jun
Asane 2
1 : 2
Stord
30 May
Stord
2 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
22 May
V. Haugesund
4 : 1
Stord
Page 1 of 6

Varegg

(Away)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
Page 1 of 7