Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Storfors AIK vs IFK Umea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Richard O.
35' Event
Richard O.
77' Event
Sydlen M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Storfors AIK and IFK Umea finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Storfors AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Storfors AIK
22%
Draws
18%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Storfors AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Storfors AIK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Storfors AIK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 11%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Storfors AIK IFK Umea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 3 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Storfors AIK
2:1
May 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs IFK Umea
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Storfors AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard O.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Sydlen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Storfors AIK 56 / 100
IFK Umea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Storfors AIK IFK Umea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Umea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Storfors AIK found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: IFK Umea has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Storfors AIK VS IFK Umea
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Storfors AIK

(Home)
27 Jun
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Storfors AIK
18 Jun
Storfors AIK
0 : 4
Taftea IK
13 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
07 Jun
Storfors AIK
0 : 2
Boden
03 Jun
Storfors AIK
1 : 3
Skelleftea
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IFK Umea

(Away)
27 Jun
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Storfors AIK
15 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 3
IFK Umea
06 Jun
Skelleftea
3 : 0
IFK Umea
03 Jun
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Taftea IK
30 May
IFK Lulea
6 : 1
IFK Umea
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)