Sport Picks

Nigeria

NNL

Ekiti United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stormers play Ekiti United in the NNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stormers averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Ekiti United averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Stormers won 1, Ekiti United won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Stormers and 1.13 for Ekiti United. This points to a Ekiti United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Stormers

15%

Draws

43%

Ekiti United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Stormers picked up more points recently compared to Ekiti United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Stormers Clean Sheet 21%

Ekiti United Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stormers	Ekiti United
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	4	2
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.37	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 NNL

Stormers vs Ekiti United

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Nov 16, 2025 NNL

Ekiti United vs Stormers

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Apr 28, 2024 NNL

Stormers vs Ekiti United

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Dec 3, 2023 NNL

Ekiti United vs Stormers

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stormers 42 / 100

Ekiti United 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stormers Ekiti United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ekiti United or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stormers attacking → ← attacking Ekiti United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stormers scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ekiti United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Stormers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ekiti United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 41

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter Lagos	16	8	5	3	26:13	29
2	Beyond Limits FC	16	7	7	2	23:13	28
3	Heartland FC	16	8	3	5	21:17	27
4	Smart City	16	8	3	5	21:19	27
5	Sunshine Stars	16	7	4	5	18:14	25
6	Edel FC	16	6	2	8	14:20	20
7	Crown FC	16	4	4	8	18:19	16
8	Abia Comets	16	4	3	9	16:31	15
9	Gateway United	16	3	3	10	13:24	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Lagos	18	11	3	4	31:14	36
2	Akwa United	18	11	2	5	23:13	35
3	Ekiti United	18	10	0	8	21:17	30
4	Stormers	18	8	2	8	24:26	26
5	Abakaliki	18	7	4	7	19:17	25
6	Solution	18	8	1	9	18:22	25
7	Godswill Akpabio	18	6	6	6	27:24	24
8	Rovers FC	18	7	1	10	15:21	22
9	Osun United	18	6	2	10	16:24	20
10	First Bank	18	4	3	11	15:31	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Doma United	14	8	2	4	18:11	26
2	Lobi	14	7	2	5	12:10	23
3	Basira	14	6	3	5	17:14	21
4	Kada Warriors	14	5	5	4	11:9	20
5	Sokoto United	14	5	3	6	9:11	18
6	ABS	14	5	2	7	10:16	17
7	Mighty Jets	14	5	1	8	14:16	16
8	City FC Abuja	14	4	4	6	10:14	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ranchers Bees	12	6	2	4	11:9	20
2	Adamawa Utd	12	6	0	6	12:11	18
3	Jigawa Golden Stars	12	5	3	4	12:15	18
4	Yobe Stars	12	5	2	5	14:13	17
5	Kebbi	12	5	1	6	11:11	16
6	Bichi First	12	4	3	5	11:9	15
7	Gombe	12	4	3	5	8:11	15
8	Sporting Supreme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0