Sport Picks
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Pearce K.
73'
73'
Pavey C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alvechurch lately — more wins on the board than Stourbridge.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 12%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 30 / 100
Alvechurch 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Alvechurch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stourbridge's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Alvechurch conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Stourbridge stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Alvechurch
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3 Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 3
Alvechurch
(Away) 03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2 Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2 Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2 Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2 Alvechurch
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2 Alvechurch
31 Aug
Rushall
0 : 1 Alvechurch
22 Aug
Stortford
0 : 3 Alvechurch
08 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
