Sport Picks
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
18'
18'
Wragg C.
40'
40'
Ponticelli J.
42'
42'
Allen J.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Stourbridge and Real Bedford finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Bedford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Bedford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stourbridge haven't matched Real Bedford's recent run of results.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Real Bedford taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Real Bedford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Real Bedford Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Real Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 2.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford
1:4
Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Real Bedford vs Stourbridge
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Wragg C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Real Bedford Compare
Top Goalscorer Ponticelli J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Allen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 10 / 100
Real Bedford 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Real Bedford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Real Bedford conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Stourbridge's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Stourbridge stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Real Bedford
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0 Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3 Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 3
Real Bedford
(Away) 29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2 Leiston
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
19 Sept
Harleston Town
1 : 2 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Real Bedford
2 : 1 Redditch
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
19 Sept
Harleston Town
1 : 2 Real Bedford
29 Aug
Halesowen
0 : 2 Real Bedford
15 Aug
Banbury
1 : 3 Real Bedford
11 Aug
Peterborough Sports
0 : 2 Real Bedford
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Worcester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Leamington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 | Banbury | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:25 | 0 |
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Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
