Sport Picks
Stourbridge vs St Ives Town
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Hart B.
35'
35'
Verma J.
44'
44'
Brazier L.
AI Match Summary
Stourbridge in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stourbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Ives Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Stourbridge have won more games recently than St Ives Town.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 16%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | St Ives Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs St Ives Town
4:3
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Stourbridge
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Stourbridge
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs St Ives Town
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Stourbridge
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Verma J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brazier L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
St Ives Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Hart B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Idehen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 36 / 100
St Ives Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge St Ives Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Ives Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Ives Town has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Stourbridge scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Stourbridge has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS St Ives Town
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3 Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 3
St Ives Town
(Away) 29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1 St Ives Town
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2 Stortford
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0 Stratford
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2 St Ives Town
11 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 2 Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1 St Ives Town
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2 St Ives Town
06 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 2 St Ives Town
28 Mar
Stourbridge
4 : 3 St Ives Town
24 Mar
Alvechurch
1 : 1 St Ives Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
