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Strabane Athletic vs Glenavon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Healy D.
24' Event
Johnson J.
29' Event
Doyle B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. This leg finished 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Strabane Athletic
30%
Draws
51%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenavon have won more games recently than Strabane Athletic.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Glenavon taking it.
  • Glenavon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Glenavon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strabane Athletic Glenavon
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Irish League Cup
Strabane Athletic vs Glenavon
0:5
Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Championship
Glenavon vs Strabane Athletic
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strabane Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strabane Athletic 10 / 100
Glenavon 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane Athletic Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Strabane Athletic found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Glenavon has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Strabane Athletic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Strabane Athletic VS Glenavon
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strabane Athletic

(Home)
20 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 5
Glenavon
16 Oct
Strabane Athletic
1 : 1
Loughgall
10 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Glenavon

(Away)
20 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 5
Glenavon
16 Oct
Glenavon
4 : 0
Harland & Wolff
10 Oct
Annagh
1 : 1
Glenavon
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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