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Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strabane Athletic host Loughgall in the NIFL Championship. This one's hard to separate. Loughgall have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Strabane Athletic have conceded 2 and scored 1.56. Past meetings favor Strabane Athletic slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.63, favoring Strabane Athletic. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Strabane Athletic
35%
Draws
26%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Strabane Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Loughgall lately — more wins on the board than Strabane Athletic.
  • Win probability leans Strabane Athletic's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 14%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strabane Athletic Loughgall
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Loughgall vs Strabane Athletic
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strabane Athletic 57 / 100
Loughgall 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane Athletic Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strabane Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Strabane Athletic scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Loughgall let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Strabane Athletic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Strabane Athletic VS Loughgall
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strabane Athletic

(Home)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Loughgall

(Away)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)