Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Stair Park, Stranraer

Stranraer

2 - 3

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Nair K.

34'

Bruce Z.

37'

Traynor A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Ayr advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Stranraer

Draws

90%

Ayr

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Stranraer haven't matched Ayr's recent run of results.
Ayr are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Ayr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Ayr have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Stranraer Clean Sheet 16%

Ayr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stranraer	Ayr
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	8	13
Draws	9	6
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Stranraer vs Ayr

2:3

Jan 13, 2026 Challenge Cup

Ayr vs Stranraer

4:1

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly

Ayr vs Stranraer

2:0

Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly

Ayr vs Stranraer

2:1

Nov 14, 2020 League Cup

Ayr vs Stranraer

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Traynor A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Summers B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Taylor R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 10 / 100

Ayr 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stranraer Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Stranraer found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Ayr has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Stranraer remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Ayr

1.25 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)

25 Jul

Falkirk

3 : 0

Stranraer

21 Jul

Stranraer

0 : 2

Edinburgh City

18 Jul

Alloa

3 : 2

Stranraer

11 Jul

Stranraer

2 : 3

Ayr

04 Jul

Morton

0 : 0

Stranraer

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Ayr

(Away)

25 Jul

Ayr

4 : 1

Alloa

18 Jul

Ayr

2 : 0

Edinburgh City

14 Jul

Falkirk

0 : 1

Ayr

11 Jul

Stranraer

2 : 3

Ayr

04 Jul

Ayr

2 : 1

Airdrieonians

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