Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Stair Park, Stranraer

Stranraer

2 - 3

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Nair K.

34'

Bruce Z.

37'

Traynor A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Stranraer

15%

Draws

26%

Ayr

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Ayr haven't matched Stranraer's recent run of results.
Stranraer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Stranraer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Ayr have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Stranraer Clean Sheet 68%

Ayr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stranraer	Ayr
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	11	10
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.55	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Stranraer vs Ayr

2:3

Jan 13, 2026 Challenge Cup

Ayr vs Stranraer

4:1

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly

Ayr vs Stranraer

2:0

Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly

Ayr vs Stranraer

2:1

Nov 14, 2020 League Cup

Ayr vs Stranraer

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Traynor A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Summers B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Taylor R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 95 / 100

Ayr 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stranraer Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Stranraer found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ayr has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Stranraer remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Ayr

1.88 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)

22 Sept

Berwick

3 : 2

Stranraer

19 Sept

Elgin City

1 : 5

Stranraer

12 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 1

Dumbarton

05 Sept

Forfar Athletic

0 : 3

Stranraer

01 Sept

Stranraer

3 : 4

Celtic B

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Ayr

(Away)

18 Sept

Queen's Park

0 : 2

Ayr

12 Sept

Ayr

1 : 3

Inverness

05 Sept

Partick

1 : 0

Ayr

29 Aug

Ayr

1 : 1

Morton

22 Aug

Raith

2 : 0

Ayr

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