Sport Picks
Stranraer vs East Kilbride - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Stair Park, Stranraer 
Match Events
6'
6'
Quigg A.
15'
15'
McGuffie C.
35'
35'
Robertson M.
Assist: Elliott C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Stranraer haven't matched East Kilbride's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- East Kilbride arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stranraer, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Stranraer have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 11%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stranraer | East Kilbride |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs East Kilbride
4:3
Mar 14, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs East Kilbride
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 League Two
East Kilbride vs Stranraer
0:2
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Stranraer
1:4
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Stranraer vs East Kilbride
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stranraer Compare
Top Goalscorer Dunne E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Quigg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
East Kilbride Compare
Top Goalscorer McGuffie C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robertson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stranraer 29 / 100
East Kilbride 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stranraer East Kilbride
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Stranraer found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
East Kilbride's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Stranraer stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stranraer VS East Kilbride
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Stranraer
(Home) 03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2 Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
01 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 4 Celtic B
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 4
East Kilbride
(Away) 03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3 Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Peterhead
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
29 Aug
Ross County
4 : 0 East Kilbride
25 Aug
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
