Sport Picks
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts
Scotland
League Two Stair Park, Stranraer 
AI Match Summary
Stranraer host Kelty Hearts in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Stranraer have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.04 scored and 1.64 conceded. Past meetings favor Kelty Hearts slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Kelty Hearts. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Stranraer carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Stranraer a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kelty Hearts have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stranraer | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kelty Hearts's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Stranraer scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Kelty Hearts lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Stranraer
(Home)Kelty Hearts
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Forfar Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Clyde | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Spartans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Stirling | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 6 | Annan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -1 |
