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Stranraer vs Kilmarnock B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Stair Park, Stranraer
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Stranraer at 1.72 goals for, 1.19 against; Kilmarnock B at 1.59 for, 2.65 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.02 vs 1.23, favoring Stranraer. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Stranraer
20%
Draws
23%
Kilmarnock B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Stranraer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Stranraer taking it.
  • Stranraer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Kilmarnock B
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 85 / 100
Kilmarnock B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Kilmarnock B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kilmarnock B conceded in 94% of 17 recent games.

Stranraer scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Stranraer remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kilmarnock B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Kilmarnock B
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock B

(Away)
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2
Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)