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Stranraer vs Motherwell B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2021/2022
Tue, Aug 10, 2021
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup 2021/2022. Stranraer go into this one as the clear favorite. Motherwell B have shipped 2.69 goals a game lately, while Stranraer have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Stranraer have won 1 to Motherwell B's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.42 - 1.09) back Stranraer to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Stranraer
15%
Draws
0%
Motherwell B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stranraer lately — more wins on the board than Motherwell B.
  • Win probability leans Stranraer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Stranraer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stranraer, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 20%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Motherwell B
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 14 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.68 0.44
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs Motherwell B
3:0
Aug 10, 2021 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs Motherwell B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 85 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Motherwell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell B let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Away concern: Motherwell B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stranraer's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Motherwell B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
05 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Stranraer
Page 1 of 7

Motherwell B

(Away)
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0
Motherwell B
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Motherwell B
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Hamilton -
TBD -
Edinburgh City 0
Hearts B 1
Brora Rangers 0
Aberdeen B 1
TBD -
Arbroath -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
Falkirk 3
East Kilbride 0
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
Queen's Park 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Hibernian B 1
Elgin City 2
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Inverness -
TBD -
Brechin 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Raith -
TBD -
Forfar Athletic 1
Formartine Utd 0
Dundee FC B 1
Peterhead 2
East Fife 1
St Johnstone B 0
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
Stenhousemuir 3
Dundee Utd B 0
Livingston B -
Albion Rovers -
St. Mirren B 2
Kelty Hearts 1
Fraserburgh 0
Cowdenbeath 1
TBD -
Alloa -
Dumbarton 2
Rangers B 3
TBD -
Ayr -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
Broomhill 1
Clyde 0
Stranraer -
Motherwell B -
TBD -
Partick -
Montrose -
TBD -
Ross County 2 -
Stirling -
Celtic B 2
Annan 0
TBD -
Morton -
1/16-finals
Hamilton 3
Hearts B 2
Aberdeen B 2
Arbroath 1
Kilmarnock 3
Falkirk 1
Airdrieonians 1
Queen's Park 2
Elgin City 3
Dunfermline 0
Inverness 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Raith 1
Forfar Athletic 0
Peterhead 0
East Fife 1
Cove Rangers 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Albion Rovers 6
St. Mirren B 0
Cowdenbeath 0
Alloa 2
Rangers B 3
Ayr 0
Queen of the South 3
Broomhill 0
Stranraer 0
Partick 2
Montrose 1
Stirling 0
Celtic B 1
Morton 3
1/8-finals
Hamilton 2
Aberdeen B 0
Kilmarnock 3
Queen's Park 1
Elgin City 2
Inverness 4
Raith 3
East Fife 1
Cove Rangers 4
Albion Rovers 1
Alloa 2
Rangers B 3
Queen of the South 2
Partick 0
Montrose 0
Morton 1
Quarter-finals
Hamilton 2
Kilmarnock 3
Inverness 0
Raith 1
Cove Rangers 5
Rangers B 1
Queen of the South 2
Morton 1
Semi-finals
Kilmarnock 1
Raith 2
Cove Rangers 0
Queen of the South 1
Final
Raith 3
Queen of the South 1