Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stranraer vs Spartans

Scotland Scotland

League Two Stair Park, Stranraer
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Sub
McKay D. In: Tapping J.
Out: McKay D.
59'
Sub
Bruce Z. In: Hughes R.
Out: Bruce Z.
59'
Sub
McManus D. In: Stuart J.
Out: McManus D.

AI Match Summary

Stranraer in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stranraer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Stranraer
20%
Draws
58%
Spartans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Stranraer haven't matched Spartans's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartans's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stranraer have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 13%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Spartans
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer McLuckie M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 11 / 100
Spartans 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stranraer scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Spartans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Stranraer went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Spartans
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
15 Aug
Stranraer
1 : 0
Spartans
11 Aug
Alloa
2 : 1
Stranraer
08 Aug
Stranraer
0 : 1
Annan
01 Aug
Clyde
3 : 1
Stranraer
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
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Spartans

(Away)
15 Aug
Stranraer
1 : 0
Spartans
11 Aug
East Fife
2 : 2
Spartans
08 Aug
Spartans
2 : 2
Edinburgh City
01 Aug
Annan
2 : 4
Spartans
25 Jul
Montrose
0 : 2
Spartans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Forfar Athletic 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Clyde 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
4 Spartans 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
5 Stirling 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
6 Annan 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
7 Stranraer 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Kelty Hearts 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
9 Dumbarton 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
10 Edinburgh City 3 1 1 1 5:7 -1
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)