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Stranraer vs Spartans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Stair Park, Stranraer
Stranraer Logo

Stranraer

1 - 0
FT
Spartans Logo

Spartans

Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Sub
McKay D. In: Tapping J.
Out: McKay D.
59'
Sub
Bruce Z. In: Hughes R.
Out: Bruce Z.
59'
Sub
McManus D. In: Stuart J.
Out: McManus D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stranraer in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stranraer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stranraer
20%
Draws
33%
Spartans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartans haven't matched Stranraer's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Stranraer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stranraer have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 16%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Spartans
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer McLuckie M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 84 / 100
Spartans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stranraer scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Spartans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Stranraer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Spartans
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Spartans

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)