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Strasbourg vs Brest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strasbourg host Brest in the Ligue 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Strasbourg at 1.43 goals for, 2.07 against; Brest at 1.45 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Brest slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.88, favoring Brest. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Strasbourg
20%
Draws
58%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Strasbourg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brest are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg Brest
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Strasbourg
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Strasbourg
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg 14 / 100
Brest 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brest conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Strasbourg scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Strasbourg remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg VS Brest
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg

(Home)
01 Nov
Strasbourg
5 : 1
Auxerre
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6

Brest

(Away)
02 Nov
Lorient
0 : 2
Brest
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
10 Oct
Brest
5 : 1
Angers
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 15:14 13
11 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
12 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
13 Strasbourg 10 3 1 6 18:22 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)