Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strasbourg vs Rennes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lepaul E.
Assist: Szymanski S.
44'
Szymanski S.
46'
Sub
Fofana D. D. In: Godo M.
Out: Fofana D. D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Strasbourg and Rennes finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Strasbourg
15%
Draws
49%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Rennes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg Rennes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Rennes
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Strasbourg
4:1
Feb 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Strasbourg
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Rennes
3:1
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Rennes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strasbourg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepaul E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Embolo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg 34 / 100
Rennes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rennes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Rennes has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Rennes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg VS Rennes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg

(Home)
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2
Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0
Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0
Strasbourg
04 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 5
Elversberg
01 Aug
Brighton
4 : 3
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
15 Aug
Sunderland
2 : 1
Rennes
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4
Brentford
08 Aug
Rennes
1 : 2
Brentford U21
02 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 3
Rennes
25 Jul
Rennes
2 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)