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Strathspey Thistle vs Fraserburgh

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strathspey Thistle play Fraserburgh in the Highland League 2025/2026. Fraserburgh are favorites here. Recently, Strathspey Thistle averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Fraserburgh averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Strathspey Thistle won 0, Fraserburgh won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 1, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Strathspey Thistle and 1.69 for Fraserburgh. This points to a Fraserburgh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Strathspey Thistle
15%
Draws
59%
Fraserburgh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Strathspey Thistle picked up more points recently compared to Fraserburgh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 13%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strathspey Thistle Fraserburgh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.3 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Fraserburgh
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Fraserburgh
2:2
Apr 20, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Strathspey Thistle
11:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strathspey Thistle 26 / 100
Fraserburgh 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strathspey Thistle Fraserburgh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Fraserburgh & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Strathspey Thistle attacking → ← attacking Fraserburgh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strathspey Thistle scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Fraserburgh let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Strathspey Thistle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fraserburgh lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 63
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347