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Stresa Vergante vs Casale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Barranco B.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Marra E.

AI Match Summary

Stresa Vergante in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stresa Vergante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Stresa Vergante
35%
Draws
16%
Casale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stresa Vergante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stresa Vergante lately — more wins on the board than Casale.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Stresa Vergante taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 20%
Casale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stresa Vergante Casale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 0.9 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Casale
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Stresa Vergante
2:2
May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Stresa Vergante
2:1
Dec 22, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Casale
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stresa Vergante Compare

Top Goalscorer Marra E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stresa Vergante 67 / 100
Casale 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stresa Vergante Casale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stresa Vergante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casale has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Stresa Vergante scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Stresa Vergante went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stresa Vergante VS Casale
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stresa Vergante

(Home)
07 May
Stresa Vergante
0 : 0
Sanremese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 0
Legnano
16 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Stresa Vergante
06 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 1
Bra
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Casale

(Away)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)