Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strindheim vs Rosenborg

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025 Leangen Bolig Arena, Trondheim
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Saeter O.
Assist: Volden H.
13' Event
Saeter O.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Zeidan M.
Assist: Sletsjoe H.

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg in this NM Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Strindheim
15%
Draws
46%
Rosenborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Strindheim have won more games recently than Rosenborg.
  • Model gives Rosenborg a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Strindheim have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosenborg, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rosenborg here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Strindheim Clean Sheet 10%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strindheim Rosenborg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2025 NM Cup
Strindheim vs Rosenborg
0:3
Sep 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Strindheim
7:0
Sep 5, 2017 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Strindheim
2:0
Apr 26, 2017 NM Cup
Strindheim vs Rosenborg
0:2
May 1, 2013 NM Cup
Strindheim vs Rosenborg
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strindheim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Saeter O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeidan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strindheim 10 / 100
Rosenborg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strindheim Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strindheim scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Rosenborg let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Strindheim stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strindheim VS Rosenborg
2.38 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Strindheim

(Home)
22 Aug
Strindheim
0 : 8
Levanger
15 Aug
Strindheim
4 : 0
Ntnui
08 Aug
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Strindheim
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
26 Jul
Rosenborg 2
1 : 1
Strindheim
Page 1 of 6

Rosenborg

(Away)
22 Aug
Nationalkameratene
0 : 9
Rosenborg
14 Aug
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Viking
09 Aug
Lillestrom
0 : 2
Rosenborg
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2
Rosenborg
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3