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Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stromsgodset host Kongsvinger in the OBOS-ligaen. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Stromsgodset have averaged 2.7 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Kongsvinger's 3.38 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Stromsgodset have won 2 to Kongsvinger's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 4:4. xG projections (2.31 - 2.88) back Kongsvinger to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Stromsgodset
20%
Draws
40%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stromsgodset carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stromsgodset a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stromsgodset Kongsvinger
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.7 3.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Stromsgodset
4:4
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Kongsvinger vs Stromsgodset
2:2
Oct 27, 2016 NM Cup
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger
1:2
Jul 11, 2010 Eliteserien
Kongsvinger vs Stromsgodset
0:2
Mar 14, 2010 Eliteserien
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stromsgodset 38 / 100
Kongsvinger 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stromsgodset Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stromsgodset found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Kongsvinger conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Stromsgodset stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stromsgodset VS Kongsvinger
3 Goals Scored 5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stromsgodset

(Home)
03 Oct
Stromsgodset
1 : 0
Asane
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 7

Kongsvinger

(Away)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)