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Stromsgodset W vs Valerenga W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Norway Cup Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Stromsgodset W have averaged 2.5 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Valerenga W's 2.48 scored and 1.31 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (3.81 xG vs 0.86) point toward Valerenga W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Stromsgodset W
15%
Draws
53%
Valerenga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valerenga W lately — more wins on the board than Stromsgodset W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Valerenga W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stromsgodset W Clean Sheet 20%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stromsgodset W Valerenga W
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 2 17
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.5 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stromsgodset W 36 / 100
Valerenga W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stromsgodset W Valerenga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stromsgodset W scored in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Valerenga W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Stromsgodset W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Valerenga W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stromsgodset W VS Valerenga W
6 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stromsgodset W

(Home)
05 Sept
Alta W
0 : 6
Stromsgodset W
22 Apr
Stromsgodset W
1 : 2
Odds BK W
07 Feb
Honefoss W
4 : 1
Stromsgodset W
06 May
Stromsgodset W
1 : 6
Honefoss W
30 Apr
Stromsgodset W
5 : 1
Frigg W
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Valerenga W

(Away)
04 Oct
Valerenga W
1 : 1
Rosenborg W
30 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Feyenoord W
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Skeid W 1
Kolbotn W 4
TBD -
Lyn W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Grei W 6
TBD -
Roa W -
Alta W 0
Stromsgodset W 6
TBD -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 3
Start W 2
Ovrevoll Hosle W 0
Odds BK W 4
Raufoss W 1
Klepp W 3
Grimstad W 0
Viking W 5
Arendal W 1
Bryne W 6
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Lyngbo W 1
Asane W 4
Fana W 0
Arna-Bjornar W 5
Lillestrom W 1
Fyllingsdalen W 2
TBD -
Brann W -
Sogndal W 6
Forde W 1
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W 3
Tynset W 2
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W 3
Tiller W 0
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W 3
Ranheim W 1
TBD -
Molde W -
Steinkjer W 1
Rana FK W 2
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W 7
Melbo W 0
Grorud W 2
Frigg W 9
Porsanger W 0
Tromso W 5
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/16-finals
Ham-Kam W -
LSK Kvinner W -
Kolbotn W -
Lyn W -
Grei W 1
Roa W 0
Stromsgodset W -
Valerenga W -
Sandefjord W 2
Odds BK W 4
Klepp W 2
Viking W 3
Bryne W 1
Haugesund W 5
Asane W -
Arna-Bjornar W -
Fyllingsdalen W -
Brann W -
Sogndal W -
Honefoss W -
Hodd W -
Aalesund W -
Kil/Hemne W -
Stabaek W -
Malvik W -
Molde W -
Rana FK W -
Rosenborg W -
Medkila W -
Frigg W -
Tromso W -
Bodo/Glimt W -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -