Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Struga vs KF Gostivar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Gradska Plaža Stadium, Struga
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Compaore B.
39'
Dirar N.
51' Event
Kalanoski A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Struga
15%
Draws
0%
KF Gostivar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Struga have won more games recently than KF Gostivar.
  • Win probability leans Struga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Struga Clean Sheet 68%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Struga KF Gostivar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.06 1
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 1. MFL
Struga vs KF Gostivar
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Struga vs KF Gostivar
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Struga
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 1. MFL
Struga vs KF Gostivar
2:2
May 4, 2024 1. MFL
Struga vs KF Gostivar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Struga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kehinde O. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

KF Gostivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalanoski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Struga 95 / 100
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Struga KF Gostivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Struga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Struga scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Struga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: KF Gostivar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Struga VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Struga

(Home)
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
02 Sept
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 10
Struga
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 7

KF Gostivar

(Away)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)