Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Struga vs KF Gostivar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2024/2025 Gradska Plaža Stadium, Struga
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Kehinde O. M.

AI Match Summary

Struga in this Macedonian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Struga
15%
Draws
0%
KF Gostivar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Struga have won more games recently than KF Gostivar.
  • Win probability leans Struga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Struga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Struga, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Struga Clean Sheet 68%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Struga KF Gostivar
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 1. MFL
Struga vs KF Gostivar
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Struga vs KF Gostivar
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Struga
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 1. MFL
Struga vs KF Gostivar
2:2
May 4, 2024 1. MFL
Struga vs KF Gostivar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Struga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kehinde O. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

KF Gostivar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Struga 95 / 100
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Struga KF Gostivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Struga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Struga found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Struga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: KF Gostivar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Struga VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Struga

(Home)
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
02 Sept
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 10
Struga
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
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KF Gostivar

(Away)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
FK Skopje 0
Pelister 1
Borec 0
Detonit Plackovica 1
Jeni Maale 0
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Shkendija Haracine 2
Rabotnicki 0
Sloga Vinica 1
Struga 6
Belasica Strumica 2
Makedonija GP 3
Pobeda 1
KF Gostivar 3
Sloboden Skopje 0
Bregalnica Stip 6
Novaci 0
Vardar 2
Tikves -
TBD -
Karbinci 1
Sileks 4
Xhepcishti 0
Shkupi 8
Vardar Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 4
Ohrid 1
Besa 1976 5
Kozuf Gevgelija 1
Arsimi 2
Bashkimi 0
Voska Sport 2
1/8-finals
Pelister 1
Detonit Plackovica 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
Shkendija Haracine 0
Struga 2
Makedonija GP 0
KF Gostivar 1
Bregalnica Stip 0
Vardar 2
Tikves 0
Sileks 1
Shkupi 0
Brera Strumica 2
Besa 1976 0
Arsimi 3
Voska Sport 1
Quarter-finals
Detonit Plackovica 0
Shkendija Tetovo 1
Struga 1
KF Gostivar 0
Vardar 1
Sileks 0
Brera Strumica 2
Arsimi 1
Semi-finals
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Struga 3
Vardar 4
Brera Strumica 1
Final
Struga 0
Vardar 2