Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Struga vs Renova

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 Gradska Plaža Stadium, Struga
Sun, Oct 9, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Struga host Renova in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Renova have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Struga have conceded 1 and scored 1.69. Head-to-head, Struga have won 1 to Renova's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 0.94) back Struga to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Struga
30%
Draws
33%
Renova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Struga have won more games recently than Renova.
  • Struga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Struga Clean Sheet 20%
Renova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Struga Renova
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.69 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 1. MFL
Renova vs Struga
0:0
Oct 9, 2022 1. MFL
Struga vs Renova
0:0
May 1, 2022 1. MFL
Renova vs Struga
1:1
Jan 21, 2022 Club Friendly
Struga vs Renova
0:0
Dec 14, 2021 1. MFL
Struga vs Renova
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Struga 85 / 100
Renova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Struga Renova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Struga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Struga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Struga scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Renova let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Struga VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Struga

(Home)
09 Aug
FK Skopje
1 : 1
Struga
25 Jul
Struga
3 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
17 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Struga
08 Jul
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo City
Page 1 of 7

Renova

(Away)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)