Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Struga vs Vardar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL Gradska Plaža Stadium, Struga
Struga Logo

Struga

1 - 0
FT
Vardar Logo

Vardar

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Najdovski F.
27'
Fall P.
46'
Sub
Vosha A. In: Hamza M.
Out: Vosha A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Struga and Vardar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Struga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Struga
15%
Draws
32%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Struga haven't matched Vardar's recent run of results.
  • Struga are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Struga Clean Sheet 68%
Vardar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Struga Vardar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.61 2.07
Goals Conceded 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 1. MFL
Struga vs Vardar
1:0
May 15, 2026 1. MFL
Struga vs Vardar
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 1. MFL
Struga vs Vardar
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Struga
2:2
May 21, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Vardar vs Struga
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Struga Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleski H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vardar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Struga 86 / 100
Vardar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Struga Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Struga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Struga's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Struga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vardar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Struga VS Vardar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Struga

(Home)
24 Aug
Shkendija Tetovo
2 : 1
Struga
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0
Vardar
09 Aug
FK Skopje
1 : 1
Struga
25 Jul
Struga
3 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
17 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Struga
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Vardar

(Away)
24 Aug
Vardar
4 : 1
Sileks
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0
Vardar
09 Aug
Vardar
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2
Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Tikves 4 2 1 1 11:3 7
3 Sileks 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
4 Struga 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
5 Bregalnica Stip 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
6 Vardar 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Arsimi 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
8 Shkendija Haracine 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
9 FK Skopje 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
10 Bashkimi 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)