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Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strumska Slava host Botev Ihtiman in the Third League - South-West. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Strumska Slava have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Botev Ihtiman's 1.39 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Strumska Slava have won 5 to Botev Ihtiman's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Strumska Slava. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Strumska Slava
15%
Draws
28%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Strumska Slava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Strumska Slava a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Strumska Slava have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strumska Slava Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava
1:2
Apr 1, 2017 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman
3:0
Sep 11, 2016 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava
1:5
Apr 17, 2016 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 48 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strumska Slava Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strumska Slava's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Botev Ihtiman registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Botev Ihtiman
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Strumska Slava

(Home)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
07 Oct
Bansko
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
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