Sport Picks
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir 
AI Match Summary
Kostinbrod in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kostinbrod.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Strumska Slava lately — more wins on the board than Kostinbrod.
- Model gives Strumska Slava a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava
1:2
Apr 8, 2012 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
2:0
Sep 25, 2011 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Strumska Slava
1:0
May 25, 2011 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kostinbrod
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Strumska Slava 67 / 100
Kostinbrod 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Strumska Slava Kostinbrod
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Strumska Slava's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kostinbrod let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Strumska Slava stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Strumska Slava VS Kostinbrod
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Strumska Slava
(Home) 12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3 Strumska Slava
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Bansko
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
23 May
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Bansko
Page 1 of 4
Kostinbrod
(Away) 12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3 Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2 Kostinbrod
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2 Kostinbrod
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
