Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strumska Slava vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strumska Slava in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strumska Slava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Strumska Slava
20%
Draws
24%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Strumska Slava have won more games recently than Kyustendil.
  • Win probability leans Strumska Slava's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 20%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strumska Slava Kyustendil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kyustendil
3:1
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 85 / 100
Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strumska Slava Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strumska Slava scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Kyustendil let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Strumska Slava went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Kyustendil
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Strumska Slava

(Home)
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3
Strumska Slava
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6

Kyustendil

(Away)
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)