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Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Strumska Slava and Septemvri Simitli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Strumska Slava
15%
Draws
34%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Strumska Slava come out ahead of Septemvri Simitli on wins alone.
  • Strumska Slava are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 18%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strumska Slava Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Strumska Slava
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
3:2
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Apr 2, 2022 Vtora liga
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 58 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strumska Slava Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strumska Slava scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Septemvri Simitli has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Septemvri Simitli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Septemvri Simitli
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Strumska Slava

(Home)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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