Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stubai vs Absam

Austria Austria

Tirol
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stubai host Absam in the Tirol. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Stubai at 2 goals for, 2.75 against; Absam at 1.96 for, 1.86 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 2.04) point toward Stubai. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Stubai
15%
Draws
41%
Absam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Stubai haven't matched Absam's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Stubai Clean Sheet 10%
Absam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stubai Absam
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stubai 29 / 100
Absam 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stubai Absam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stubai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stubai scored in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Absam has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Stubai remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Absam's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stubai VS Absam
1.33 Goals Scored 2.25
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stubai

(Home)
15 Aug
Stubai
1 : 2
SC Munster
08 Aug
SV Oberperfuss
1 : 3
Stubai
31 Jul
SC Kundl
7 : 1
Stubai
25 Jul
Stubai
3 : 1
Tirol (Am)

Absam

(Away)
14 Aug
Absam
2 : 1
SC Kundl
07 Aug
Kematen
6 : 2
Absam
01 Aug
Absam
3 : 3
Innsbrucker AC
15 Jun
Kitzbuhel
3 : 2
Absam
07 Jun
Absam
4 : 2
SC Kundl
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