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Stumptown vs Michigan Stars

USA USA

NISA 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stumptown play Michigan Stars in the NISA 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stumptown averaged 0.79 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Michigan Stars averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Stumptown won 0, Michigan Stars won 0, and they drew 5. Their last match on Sep 1, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Stumptown and 1.36 for Michigan Stars. This points to a Michigan Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stumptown
35%
Draws
34%
Michigan Stars
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Michigan Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Stumptown picked up more points recently compared to Michigan Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Stumptown Clean Sheet 18%
Michigan Stars Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stumptown Michigan Stars
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2021 NISA
Stumptown vs Michigan Stars
0:0
Aug 21, 2021 NISA
Michigan Stars vs Stumptown
0:0
Jun 25, 2021 NISA
Stumptown vs Michigan Stars
0:0
May 9, 2020 NISA
Michigan Stars vs Stumptown
0:0
Apr 11, 2020 NISA
Stumptown vs Michigan Stars
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stumptown 32 / 100
Michigan Stars 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stumptown Michigan Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Michigan Stars or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stumptown attacking → ← attacking Michigan Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stumptown scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Michigan Stars let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Stumptown went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Michigan Stars lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38