Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Merkur-Arena

Club Brugge U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz U19 play Club Brugge U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sturm Graz U19 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Club Brugge U19 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Sturm Graz U19 won 0, Club Brugge U19 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 2, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Sturm Graz U19 and 1.44 for Club Brugge U19. This points to a Sturm Graz U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sturm Graz U19

18%

Draws

40%

Club Brugge U19

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sturm Graz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Sturm Graz U19 picked up more points recently compared to Club Brugge U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%

Sturm Graz U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Club Brugge U19 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sturm Graz U19	Club Brugge U19
Matches Played	8	30
Wins	3	14
Draws	3	4
Losses	2	12
Goals Scored	1.63	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.33	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 UEFA Youth League

Sturm Graz U19 vs Club Brugge U19

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grgic L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.02

Avg xA / game 0.67

Club Brugge U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Furo K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz U19 41 / 100

Club Brugge U19 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sturm Graz U19 Club Brugge U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sturm Graz U19 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sturm Graz U19 attacking → ← attacking Club Brugge U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz U19 scored in 88% of their last 8 games.

Club Brugge U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sturm Graz U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Club Brugge U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 46

1.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter U19	6	6	0	0	19:7	18
2	Sporting CP U19	6	5	1	0	13:3	16
3	Salzburg U19	6	5	1	0	17:9	16
4	Barcelona U19	6	5	0	1	17:10	15
5	VfB Stuttgart U19	6	4	1	1	13:6	13
6	Real Madrid U19	6	4	0	2	10:5	12
7	Atalanta U19	6	4	0	2	14:12	12
8	Atl. Madrid U19	6	3	2	1	16:8	11
9	Benfica U19	6	3	2	1	12:7	11
10	Juventus U19	6	3	2	1	9:4	11
11	Manchester City U19	6	3	1	2	16:8	10
12	Girona U19	6	2	4	0	9:5	10
13	Bayern U19	6	3	1	2	11:12	10
14	Shakhtar U19	6	3	1	2	9:11	10
15	Aston Villa U19	6	3	0	3	14:11	9
16	Sturm Graz U19	6	2	3	1	10:8	9
17	Celtic U19	6	3	0	3	10:10	9
18	Dortmund U19	6	2	2	2	11:8	8
19	Liverpool U19	6	2	2	2	9:8	8
20	Lille U19	6	1	5	0	8:7	8
21	Din. Zagreb U19	6	2	2	2	8:8	8
22	Monaco U19	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
23	PSG U19	6	2	1	3	14:13	7
24	Leverkusen U19	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
25	PSV U19	6	1	3	2	8:9	6
26	Arsenal U19	6	2	0	4	5:12	6
27	AC Milan U19	6	1	2	3	7:11	5
28	Crvena zvezda U19	6	1	2	3	7:11	5
29	Feyenoord U19	6	1	1	4	7:14	4
30	Young Boys U19	6	1	0	5	11:17	3
31	Club Brugge U19	6	0	3	3	5:11	3
32	RB Leipzig U19	6	1	0	5	10:18	3
33	Bologna U19	6	0	2	4	7:14	2
34	Brest U19	6	0	2	4	5:16	2
35	Slovan Bratislava U19	6	0	2	4	6:20	2
36	Sparta Prague U19	6	0	1	5	4:15	1