Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sturm Graz U19 vs Sporting CP U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Santos D.
Assist: Silva G.
16'
Costa D.
19' Event
Silva G.
Assist: Felicissimo E.

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sturm Graz U19
30%
Draws
43%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting CP U19 lately — more wins on the board than Sturm Graz U19.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sturm Graz U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Sturm Graz U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz U19 20 / 100
Sporting CP U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz U19 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sturm Graz U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting CP U19 conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting CP U19
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz U19

(Home)
05 Mar
Sturm Graz U19
1 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
12 Feb
Lok. Zagreb U19
1 : 2
Sturm Graz U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Sturm Graz U19
0 : 0
Girona U19
05 Nov
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Sturm Graz U19
Page 1 of 2

Sporting CP U19

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)