Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Merkur-Arena, Graz
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Heil J.
34' Event
Mamageishvili G.
Assist: Seidl S.
45' Event
Danek K.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Sturm Graz and LASK Linz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sturm Graz
20%
Draws
40%
LASK Linz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sturm Graz haven't matched LASK Linz's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on LASK Linz taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 10%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz LASK Linz
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 20
Draws 11 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.9 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz
1:3
Aug 1, 2025 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamageishvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diakite O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

LASK Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Danek K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 22 / 100
LASK Linz 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz LASK Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LASK Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sturm Graz scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

LASK Linz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS LASK Linz
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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LASK Linz

(Away)
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
1 : 6
LASK Linz
01 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 3
LASK Linz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)