Sport Picks
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Austria
Bundesliga Merkur-Arena, Graz 
AI Match Summary
Sturm Graz host Salzburg in the Bundesliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sturm Graz have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Salzburg's 2.25 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Sturm Graz slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Salzburg. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Salzburg lately — more wins on the board than Sturm Graz.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Sturm Graz taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sturm Graz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Sturm Graz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Salzburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sturm Graz
(Home)Salzburg
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21:4 | 21 |
| 3 | LASK Linz | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 6 | Tirol | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:22 | 9 |
| 9 | A. Lustenau | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 11 | Altach | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | 5 |
