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Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Fuchs C.
5' Event
Wlodarczyk S.
21' Event
Mitchell J.

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sturm Graz
30%
Draws
37%
SC Kalsdorf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Kalsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sturm Graz have won more games recently than SC Kalsdorf.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sturm Graz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 16%
SC Kalsdorf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz SC Kalsdorf
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
4:1
Feb 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
4:0
Jun 25, 2016 Club Friendly
SC Kalsdorf vs Sturm Graz
0:0
Jan 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
5:1
Jan 14, 2015 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlodarczyk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

SC Kalsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuchs C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 31 / 100
SC Kalsdorf 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz SC Kalsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Kalsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: SC Kalsdorf conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS SC Kalsdorf
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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SC Kalsdorf

(Away)
26 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
2 : 1
Tillmitsch
18 Sept
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
1 : 0
SC Kalsdorf
11 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
3 : 0
Hartberg (Am)
01 Sept
Lafnitz
2 : 2
SC Kalsdorf
28 Aug
SC Kalsdorf
1 : 1
SC Weiz
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