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Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz play SC Kalsdorf in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sturm Graz averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. SC Kalsdorf averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Sturm Graz won 4, SC Kalsdorf won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2018 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for SC Kalsdorf. This points to a Sturm Graz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sturm Graz
24%
Draws
35%
SC Kalsdorf
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm Graz picked up more points recently compared to SC Kalsdorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 16%
SC Kalsdorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz SC Kalsdorf
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
4:0
Jun 25, 2016 Club Friendly
SC Kalsdorf vs Sturm Graz
0:0
Jan 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
5:1
Jan 14, 2015 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs SC Kalsdorf
4:0
Jul 3, 2013 Club Friendly
SC Kalsdorf vs Sturm Graz
0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 40 / 100
SC Kalsdorf 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz SC Kalsdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sturm Graz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sturm Graz attacking → ← attacking SC Kalsdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

SC Kalsdorf let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Kalsdorf lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 45
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13