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Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Breznik L.
46'
Sub
Grunwald J. In: Kobler E.
Out: Grunwald J.
46'
Sub
Pamminger A. In: Talwieser L.
Out: Pamminger A.

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sturm Graz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sturm Graz W
20%
Draws
51%
Salzburg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salzburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Salzburg W haven't matched Sturm Graz W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 20%
Salzburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W Salzburg W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
2:0
May 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
5:5
Sep 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Breznik L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sipos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Salzburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 32 / 100
Salzburg W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W Salzburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Salzburg W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Sturm Graz W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS Salzburg W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
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Salzburg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Salzburg W
3 : 1
First Vienna W
26 Sept
Rapid Vienna W
0 : 1
Salzburg W
19 Sept
LASK Linz W
0 : 0
Salzburg W
12 Sept
Salzburg W
1 : 3
SCR Altach W
29 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 0
Salzburg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Sturm Graz W 9 6 2 1 22:8 20
3 Austria Vienna W 8 6 1 1 25:2 19
4 SCR Altach W 8 5 1 2 19:13 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
6 LASK Linz W 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
8 Rapid Vienna W 8 1 3 4 8:17 6
9 FC Sudburgenland W 9 1 2 6 6:24 5
10 Union Kleinmunchen W 9 1 1 7 5:24 4
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group)