Sport Picks

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Sturm Graz W vs Wacker Innsbruck W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Spiess M.
88' Event
Makungu S.
89' Event
Spiess M.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2023/2024 game between Sturm Graz W and Wacker Innsbruck W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sturm Graz W
22%
Draws
18%
Wacker Innsbruck W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturm Graz W come out ahead of Wacker Innsbruck W on wins alone.
  • Sturm Graz W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sturm Graz W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 68%
Wacker Innsbruck W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W Wacker Innsbruck W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Wacker Innsbruck W
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Wacker Innsbruck W vs Sturm Graz W
1:3
May 21, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Wacker Innsbruck W vs Sturm Graz W
3:5
Oct 23, 2022 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Wacker Innsbruck W
16:0
Apr 16, 2022 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Wacker Innsbruck W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Spiess M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Wacker Innsbruck W Compare

Top Goalscorer Makungu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 68 / 100
Wacker Innsbruck W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W Wacker Innsbruck W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wacker Innsbruck W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.60 goals.

Sturm Graz W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Wacker Innsbruck W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS Wacker Innsbruck W
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Polten W18153055:948
2First Vienna W18122444:2538
3SCR Altach W18122441:1738
4Sturm Graz W18112533:2035
5Austria Vienna W1885542:2129
6Neulengbach W18711025:2322
7Dornbirn W18431124:4215
8Union Kleinmunchen W18431129:3915
9Bergheim W18401416:5512
10Wacker Innsbruck W18211511:697