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Sturm II vs Bad Gleichenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Toth M.
29' Event
Zurngast N.
34' Event
Kiedl P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Sturm II and Bad Gleichenberg finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sturm II
20%
Draws
51%
Bad Gleichenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bad Gleichenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bad Gleichenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sturm II's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sturm II Clean Sheet 15%
Bad Gleichenberg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm II Bad Gleichenberg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Sturm II vs Bad Gleichenberg
1:0
Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Sturm II vs Bad Gleichenberg
6:1
May 27, 2022 Regionalliga Central
Bad Gleichenberg vs Sturm II
0:3
Oct 23, 2021 Regionalliga Central
Sturm II vs Bad Gleichenberg
3:3
May 7, 2021 Regionalliga Central
Bad Gleichenberg vs Sturm II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiedl P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toth M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bad Gleichenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Zurngast N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm II 39 / 100
Bad Gleichenberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm II Bad Gleichenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bad Gleichenberg has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Sturm II scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sturm II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sturm II VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm II

(Home)
19 Sept
Sturm II
2 : 2
Wacker Innsbruck
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
30 Aug
Sturm II
5 : 2
Rapid Vienna II
22 Aug
SW Bregenz
3 : 1
Sturm II
15 Aug
Sturm II
0 : 2
Admira
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Bad Gleichenberg

(Away)
07 Jun
Bad Gleichenberg
2 : 1
LASK Linz (Am)
31 May
SC Weiz
5 : 2
Bad Gleichenberg
24 May
Bad Gleichenberg
4 : 3
Hogo Hertha Wels
17 May
Bad Gleichenberg
3 : 0
Union Gurten
11 May
Bad Gleichenberg
1 : 2
Weindorf St. Anna
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