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Sturm II vs Kapfenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Solarstadion Gleisdorf, Gleisdorf
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sturm II host Kapfenberg in the 2. Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sturm II have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Kapfenberg's 1.25 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Sturm II have won 0 to Kapfenberg's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.00, favoring Kapfenberg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sturm II
20%
Draws
30%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sturm II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm II haven't matched Kapfenberg's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sturm II taking it.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sturm II Clean Sheet 10%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm II Kapfenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs Sturm II
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 2. Liga
Sturm II vs Kapfenberg
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs Sturm II
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 2. Liga
Sturm II vs Kapfenberg
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs Sturm II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm II 74 / 100
Kapfenberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm II Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapfenberg let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Sturm II's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sturm II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sturm II VS Kapfenberg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm II

(Home)
19 Sept
Sturm II
2 : 2
Wacker Innsbruck
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
30 Aug
Sturm II
5 : 2
Rapid Vienna II
22 Aug
SW Bregenz
3 : 1
Sturm II
15 Aug
Sturm II
0 : 2
Admira
Page 1 of 6

Kapfenberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)