Sport Picks

Australia

NPL South Australia Karinya Reserve

Sturt Lions FC

1 - 0

Playford Patriots

Our Tip

Match Events

72'

Oostra T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Sturt Lions FC and Playford Patriots finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturt Lions FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Sturt Lions FC

28%

Draws

22%

Playford Patriots

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sturt Lions FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Sturt Lions FC carry the better recent record into this one.
50% — that's where the model lands on Sturt Lions FC taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Playford Patriots Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sturt Lions FC	Playford Patriots
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	19	12
Draws	1	6
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	0.88	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL South Australia

Sturt Lions FC vs Playford Patriots

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Apr 11, 2026 NPL South Australia

Playford Patriots vs Sturt Lions FC

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jun 15, 2024 SA State League

Sturt Lions FC vs Playford Patriots

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 23, 2024 SA State League

Playford Patriots vs Sturt Lions FC

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturt Lions FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oostra T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Playford Patriots Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturt Lions FC 47 / 100

Playford Patriots 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sturt Lions FC Playford Patriots

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturt Lions FC scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Playford Patriots has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Playford Patriots has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sturt Lions FC VS Playford Patriots

0.88 Goals Scored 2.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MetroStars	17	11	4	2	48:18	37
2	Adelaide City	17	10	5	2	33:14	35
3	West Torrens Birkalla	17	10	3	4	34:26	33
4	FK Beograd	17	9	3	5	31:19	30
5	Croydon	17	8	3	6	38:30	27
6	Playford Patriots	17	7	5	5	35:26	26
7	Adelaide Utd U23	17	5	7	5	22:24	22
8	Sturt Lions FC	17	7	0	10	30:30	21
9	Campbelltown City	17	5	4	8	27:29	19
10	West Adelaide	17	4	6	7	33:34	18
11	Adelaide Comets	17	3	4	10	19:34	13
12	Para	17	0	2	15	9:75	2