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Sua Flamingoes vs Holy Ghost - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Moyo M.
21' Event
Mokgoro S.
23' Event
Morwalela B.

AI Match Summary

Sua Flamingoes in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sua Flamingoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sua Flamingoes
35%
Draws
20%
Holy Ghost
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Holy Ghost haven't matched Sua Flamingoes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sua Flamingoes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sua Flamingoes have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 68%
Holy Ghost Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes Holy Ghost
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.55 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Premier League
Holy Ghost vs Sua Flamingoes
0:2
Dec 22, 2023 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Holy Ghost
4:0
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Holy Ghost vs Sua Flamingoes
1:0
Dec 11, 2022 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Holy Ghost
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sua Flamingoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Moyo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mokgoro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Holy Ghost Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 95 / 100
Holy Ghost 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes Holy Ghost

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holy Ghost's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Sua Flamingoes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sua Flamingoes scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sua Flamingoes

(Home)
19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1
Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
Page 1 of 7

Holy Ghost

(Away)
25 May
Holy Ghost
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
22 May
Matebele
2 : 2
Holy Ghost
18 May
Eleven Angels
1 : 1
Holy Ghost
15 May
Holy Ghost
0 : 4
Township Rollers
08 May
Holy Ghost
1 : 0
Police XI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwaneng Galaxy 32 20 5 5 45:17 65
2 Township Rollers 32 19 7 4 52:16 64
3 Gaborone Utd 30 19 6 5 50:20 63
4 Security Systems 31 13 5 12 39:40 44
5 Tafic FC 31 10 8 12 32:37 38
6 VTM FC 31 10 7 13 31:33 37
7 Sua Flamingoes 31 10 6 14 36:32 36
8 BDF XI 32 8 12 10 21:23 36
9 Masitoaka 32 9 9 12 25:29 36
10 Orapa United 32 7 11 12 27:27 32
11 Matebele 32 7 11 12 32:36 32
12 Nico United 32 7 11 12 27:33 32
13 Morupule 32 7 9 14 35:44 30
14 Eleven Angels 32 5 10 15 28:44 25
15 Police XI 31 5 9 16 23:42 24
16 Holy Ghost 31 5 8 17 20:50 23
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)