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Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sua Flamingoes and Matebele finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sua Flamingoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Sua Flamingoes
20%
Draws
17%
Matebele
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Matebele haven't matched Sua Flamingoes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sua Flamingoes a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sua Flamingoes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 20%
Matebele Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes Matebele
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.58 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele
1:0
May 22, 2026 Premier League
Matebele vs Sua Flamingoes
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Matebele
4:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Sua Flamingoes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 67 / 100
Matebele 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes Matebele

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sua Flamingoes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sua Flamingoes's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Matebele's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS Matebele
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sua Flamingoes

(Home)
19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1
Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
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Matebele

(Away)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
7 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
8 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
10 Tafic FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)