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Subiaco vs Balga SC

Australia Australia

WA State League Rosalie Park, Perth
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Subiaco
20%
Draws
40%
Balga SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Subiaco lately — more wins on the board than Balga SC.
  • Win probability leans Subiaco's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Subiaco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Balga SC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Subiaco have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%
Balga SC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco Balga SC
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 1.53 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 WA State League
Balga SC vs Subiaco
3:4
Sep 5, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Balga SC
1:3
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Subiaco vs Balga SC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 47 / 100
Balga SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco Balga SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Subiaco scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Balga SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Subiaco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS Balga SC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiaco

(Home)
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
Page 1 of 7

Balga SC

(Away)
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
19 Feb
Dianella White Eagle
1 : 2
Balga SC
19 Feb
Subiaco
3 : 0
Balga SC
06 Mar
Wanneroo City
3 : 1
Balga SC
19 Feb
Joondalup United
2 : 2
Balga SC
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Subiaco 5
Balga SC 6
Rockingham City 2
Wembley Downs 1
Final
Balga SC -
Rockingham City -