Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Subiaco vs Joondalup City

Australia Australia

WA State League 2025 Rosalie Park
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Overy J.
37' Event
Rowles J.
49' Event
Micevski D.

AI Match Summary

Joondalup City in this WA State League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Subiaco
11%
Draws
80%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Joondalup City have won more games recently than Subiaco.
  • Win probability leans Joondalup City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Joondalup City have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco Joondalup City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Joondalup City
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Subiaco
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs Joondalup City
1:4
Jun 7, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Subiaco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Micevski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Overy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 10 / 100
Joondalup City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco Joondalup City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joondalup City let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Subiaco scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Subiaco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS Joondalup City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dianella White Eagle22146246:2248
2UWA Nedlands22152552:2847
3Joondalup City22116541:2639
4Kingsley Westside22107536:2437
5Murdoch University Melville2295850:4632
6Gwelup Croatia SC221021043:3932
7Mandurah City2285934:3329
8Subiaco2285933:3729
9Inglewood Utd22741129:4325
10Curtin University22631331:4621
11Kalamunda City22541323:4019
12Gosnells City22331620:5412