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Subiaco vs Joondalup City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

WA State League Rosalie Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kral R.
15' Event
Johnson E.
29' Event
Hadfield L.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Subiaco and Joondalup City finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Subiaco
30%
Draws
23%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Subiaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Joondalup City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Subiaco a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Joondalup City have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 17%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco Joondalup City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Joondalup City
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Subiaco
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs Joondalup City
1:4
Jun 7, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Subiaco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kral R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hadfield L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 66 / 100
Joondalup City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco Joondalup City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Subiaco scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Joondalup City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Subiaco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS Joondalup City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiaco

(Home)
12 Sept
Balga SC
3 : 4
Subiaco
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
Page 1 of 7

Joondalup City

(Away)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Inglewood Utd
1 : 1
Joondalup City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)