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Subiaco vs Murdoch University Melville

Australia Australia

WA State League Rosalie Park
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Subiaco host Murdoch University Melville in the WA State League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Subiaco have averaged 2.25 scored and 2.88 conceded recently, against Murdoch University Melville's 1.88 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Subiaco have won 2 to Murdoch University Melville's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 2.38, favoring Murdoch University Melville. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Subiaco
44%
Draws
20%
Murdoch University Melville
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Murdoch University Melville lately — more wins on the board than Subiaco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco Murdoch University Melville
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Subiaco
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs Murdoch University Melville
2:1
May 24, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Subiaco
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 WA State League
Subiaco vs Murdoch University Melville
0:0
May 4, 2024 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Subiaco
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 34 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco Murdoch University Melville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiaco scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Murdoch University Melville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Murdoch University Melville's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS Murdoch University Melville
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UWA Nedlands15112237:1735
2Floreat Athena15103234:1633
3Joondalup City1591527:2128
4Mandurah City1582536:2726
5Inglewood Utd1573513:1524
6Kingsley Westside1571724:2222
7Cockburn City1554628:3119
8Quinns1553719:3018
9Murdoch University Melville1536625:3015
10Gwelup Croatia SC1536621:3015
11Curtin University15231011:239
12Subiaco15301225:389