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Subiza vs Ezcabarte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

Ezcabarte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Subiza
30%
Draws
29%
Ezcabarte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Subiza lately — more wins on the board than Ezcabarte.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Subiza taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Subiza Clean Sheet 15%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Ezcabarte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Subiza
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Ezcabarte
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Subiza
1:0
Apr 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Subiza
1:1
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Ezcabarte
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 35 / 100
Ezcabarte 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Ezcabarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiza's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ezcabarte conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Subiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS Ezcabarte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
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Ezcabarte

(Away)
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)