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SUBT vs Willemstad

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Promé Divishon game between SUBT and Willemstad finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Willemstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SUBT
15%
Draws
34%
Willemstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SUBT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • SUBT haven't matched Willemstad's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SUBT taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SUBT Clean Sheet 20%
Willemstad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SUBT Willemstad
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2023 Promé Divishon
SUBT vs Willemstad
0:3
Oct 17, 2023 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs SUBT
1:0
Jul 24, 2022 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs SUBT
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 Promé Divishon
SUBT vs Willemstad
3:2
Nov 20, 2021 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs SUBT
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SUBT 42 / 100
Willemstad 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SUBT Willemstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Willemstad conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SUBT scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: SUBT remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SUBT VS Willemstad
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SUBT

(Home)
17 Feb
Scherpenheuvel
2 : 3
SUBT
20 Jan
SUBT
3 : 2
Salina
13 Jan
Jong Holland
2 : 0
SUBT
17 Dec
SUBT
0 : 3
Willemstad
10 Dec
UNDEBA
2 : 3
SUBT
Page 1 of 6

Willemstad

(Away)
28 Jul
Willemstad
1 : 2
Delfines Del Este
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
18 Feb
Willemstad
2 : 1
CSD Barber
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
14 Jan
Willemstad
0 : 1
Victory Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)