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Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Santamaria K.
52' Event
Santamaria K.

AI Match Summary

Suchitepequez in this Liga Nacional 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suchitepequez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Suchitepequez
20%
Draws
60%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guastatoya lately — more wins on the board than Suchitepequez.
  • Win probability leans Guastatoya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 16%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Guastatoya
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya
2:0
Feb 14, 2018 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
1:2
Nov 15, 2017 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
4:1
Sep 10, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya
1:1
May 7, 2017 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Guastatoya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 23 / 100
Guastatoya 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Suchitepequez scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Guastatoya let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Guastatoya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Guastatoya
0 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
09 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
01 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
26 Jul
Suchitepequez
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
18 Jul
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Malacateco
06 May
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Guastatoya

(Away)
09 Aug
Antigua
2 : 0
Guastatoya
02 Aug
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Malacateco
25 Jul
Aurora F.C.
0 : 1
Guastatoya
03 May
Municipal
2 : 0
Guastatoya
01 May
Guastatoya
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanarate 22 11 7 4 29:14 40
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 3 7 32:21 39
3 Guastatoya 22 11 5 6 27:18 38
4 Antigua 22 11 4 7 42:34 37
5 Xelaju 22 9 4 9 31:31 31
6 Siquinala 22 8 7 7 20:22 31
7 Comunicaciones 22 8 5 9 22:26 29
8 Petapa 22 9 2 11 27:33 29
9 Municipal 22 8 4 10 34:28 28
10 Suchitepequez 22 7 4 11 29:36 25
11 Malacateco 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
12 Marquense 22 4 5 13 16:39 17
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)